Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.834002 4.091967 4.368904 4.690162 5.054965 5.459257 5.945343
2024-10-06 3.572434 3.931245 4.338419 4.841261 5.455217 6.194108 7.173251
2024-10-13 3.269351 3.679644 4.165087 4.794872 5.611536 6.668566 8.205290
2024-10-20 3.006943 3.446702 3.985253 4.714076 5.711523 7.094592 9.304373
2024-10-27 2.762213 3.212177 3.778650 4.572475 5.710358 7.389378 10.329355
2024-11-03 2.669767 3.160743 3.800721 4.739165 6.171448 8.482179 13.154270
2024-11-10 2.607587 3.142442 3.864510 4.974789 6.790396 10.045869 18.032473
2024-11-17 2.460353 2.997559 3.738840 4.913965 6.926712 10.820156 22.014808
2024-11-24 2.316512 2.846736 3.591244 4.801163 6.955773 11.413626 26.433938
2024-12-01 2.200895 2.727432 3.479523 4.732517 7.055183 12.224798 33.434086
2024-12-08 2.103730 2.627872 3.388912 4.687949 7.195138 13.226149 44.930340
2024-12-15 2.048875 2.585518 3.381345 4.783869 7.644070 15.353310 80.691671
2024-12-22 1.947297 2.478309 3.279948 4.732228 7.843971 17.215671 183.763234
2024-12-29 1.886693 2.428369 3.265860 4.841654 8.466316 21.500248 NaN
2025-01-05 1.795605 2.326293 3.158364 4.759954 8.611409 24.295082 NaN
2025-01-12 1.708435 2.225158 3.044668 4.652173 8.667991 27.045699 NaN
2025-01-19 1.620322 2.117794 2.912773 4.492016 8.541664 28.747174 NaN
2025-01-26 1.587975 2.096028 2.925526 4.634595 9.374270 41.277635 NaN
2025-02-02 1.566405 2.089833 2.964895 4.844153 10.574471 73.440503 NaN
2025-02-09 1.507846 2.020148 2.884636 4.772458 10.765073 97.706359 NaN
2025-02-16 1.447918 1.945238 2.789658 4.654444 10.740042 122.398469 NaN
2025-02-23 1.398068 1.884603 2.716980 4.580743 10.879103 178.877057 NaN
2025-03-02 1.354853 1.832929 2.657492 4.531616 11.116217 332.762233 NaN